Model Predictions
| Model | Morehead State Eagles | Alabama State Hornets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 54.4% | 45.6% | -1.8 | ✓ (13.2 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 43.8% | 56.2% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 50.2% | 49.8% | +0.0 | ✓ (15.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 39.2% | 60.8% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 58.1% | 41.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 58.4% | 41.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 49.2% | 50.8% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Alabama State Hornets -15 (43-58). Ratings: 2008-09 season-end ratings.
Morehead State Eagles
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brandon Shingles * | 38 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 7 | 8 | - |
| Maze Stallworth * | 38 | 4-11 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 6 | - |
| Leon Buchanan * | 38 | 5-10 | 1-1 | 3-4 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 14 | 5 | - |
| Kenneth Faried * | 36 | 3-14 | 0-0 | 8-10 | 21 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 14 | 21 | - |
| Demonte Harper * | 33 | 3-8 | 0-4 | 4-6 | 6 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 11 | - |
| Steve Peterson | 11 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Cecil Brown | 6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
Alabama State Hornets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brandon Brooks * | 40 | 5-13 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 10 | 5 | - |
| Andrew Hayles * | 34 | 5-17 | 1-5 | 3-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 0 | - |
| Wesley Jones * | 25 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 5 | - |
| Rashad Provitt * | 25 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Chief Kickingstallionsims * | 14 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Roland Fitch | 24 | 3-9 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | -1 | - |
| Tramaine Butler | 17 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Ivory White | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Menji Mundadi | 8 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -3 | - |
* = starter