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2009-03-17

Model Predictions

Model UNLV Rebels Kentucky Wildcats Spread Result
Elo 7.0% 93.0% -
Bradley-Terry 13.1% 86.9% -
Margin 5.8% 94.2% +15.3 (5.3 off)
Pythagorean 54.4% 45.6% -
Efficiency 69.4% 30.6% -
Adjusted Efficiency 40.1% 59.9% -
Log Adjusted 39.9% 60.1% -

Actual: Kentucky Wildcats +10 (70-60). Predictions use season-end ratings.

UNLV Rebels

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
W. Adams * 35 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 2 3 0 2 14 21 -
O. Bellfield * 32 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 5 0 0 4 7 11 -
J. Darger * 31 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 1 1 0 0 11 16 -
T. Willis * 25 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 2 0 0 1 4 9 -
R. Rougeau * 21 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 1 1 0 2 7 12 -
M. Rutledge 20 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 0 0 0 0 10 15 -
K. Wallace 20 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 6 8 -
D. Mitchell 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 1 0 0 3 -
B. Massamba 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
D. Santee 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 1 0 1 2 -

Kentucky Wildcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
P. Patterson * 39 0-0 0-0 0-0 11 1 0 1 2 16 27 -
J. Meeks * 35 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 3 1 0 1 19 24 -
P. Stevenson * 33 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 2 0 2 1 10 17 -
R. Harris * 25 0-0 0-0 0-0 10 4 0 0 1 6 19 -
M. Porter * 15 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 2 0 0 1 3 4 -
D. Miller 23 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 2 1 0 1 9 16 -
K. Galloway 12 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 4 1 0 4 2 3 -
D. Liggins 10 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 2 0 0 1 3 4 -
A.J. Stewart 8 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 2 4 -

* = starter