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2009-03-15

Model Predictions

Model Ohio State Buckeyes Purdue Boilermakers Spread Result
Elo 13.3% 86.7% -
Bradley-Terry 44.6% 55.4% -
Margin 39.3% 60.7% +2.4 (1.6 off)
Pythagorean 42.8% 57.2% -
Efficiency 10.0% 90.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 34.4% 65.6% -
Log Adjusted 34.3% 65.7% -

Actual: Purdue Boilermakers +4 (65-61). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Ohio State Buckeyes

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Diebler 40 5-12 5-10 0-0 4 2 0 0 3 15 6 -
W. Buford 39 5-9 2-3 3-3 4 0 1 1 1 15 11 -
E. Turner 37 9-20 0-1 4-5 10 2 3 0 3 22 14 -
D. Lauderdale 30 1-2 0-0 2-4 6 0 0 3 1 4 10 -
P.J. Hill 27 0-2 0-1 0-0 2 5 0 0 1 0 4 -
J. Simmons 14 1-3 0-1 0-0 2 1 1 0 2 2 1 -
B. Mullens 12 1-3 0-1 1-2 2 0 1 1 1 3 3 -
K. Madsen 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
W. Offutt 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Purdue Boilermakers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
E. Moore 38 6-15 5-10 0-3 4 1 2 1 1 17 9 -
R. Hummel 33 2-10 1-6 4-6 11 5 0 2 1 9 16 -
C. Kramer 28 1-2 0-0 4-4 4 3 4 3 2 6 16 -
L. Jackson 27 1-4 0-2 0-0 2 4 1 0 0 2 5 -
J. Johnson 27 7-18 0-0 2-3 4 0 1 0 1 16 2 -
K. Grant 23 3-9 2-6 0-0 4 0 0 1 0 8 4 -
N. Calasan 13 1-4 0-0 3-4 6 0 0 0 0 5 7 -
M. Green 9 1-2 0-1 0-0 2 2 0 0 1 2 3 -
B. Riddell 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -

* = starter