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2009-03-15

Model Predictions

Model South Dakota Coyotes North Carolina Tar Heels Spread Result
Elo 29.5% 70.5% -
Bradley-Terry 28.8% 71.2% -
Margin 12.3% 87.7% +10.8 (4.8 off)
Pythagorean 46.4% 53.6% -

Actual: North Carolina Tar Heels +6 (75-69). Predictions use season-end ratings.

South Dakota Coyotes

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Mosley 0 4-7 0-1 2-2 4 5 2 0 2 10 12 -
K. Iverson 0 0-5 0-3 0-0 1 2 1 0 1 0 -2 -
B. Yoerger 0 5-13 2-3 1-1 10 2 2 1 7 13 8 -
A. Wiemann 0 8-12 7-10 0-0 2 1 1 0 1 23 14 -
A. Roche 0 3-7 1-2 4-5 2 6 1 0 4 11 9 -

North Carolina Tar Heels

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Breland 0 7-12 0-0 3-4 10 1 1 3 4 17 16 -
R. Mccants 0 6-11 0-1 0-0 5 4 0 1 1 12 10 -
I. Lucas 0 4-10 1-4 2-2 3 7 1 0 1 11 11 -
C. DeGraffenreid 0 6-13 1-5 6-6 4 3 1 1 1 19 14 -
S. White 0 1-3 0-2 0-0 1 2 0 0 3 2 -1 -

* = starter