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2009-03-15

Model Predictions

Model Florida State Seminoles Duke Blue Devils Spread Result
Elo 4.0% 96.0% -
Bradley-Terry 25.4% 74.6% -
Margin 16.4% 83.6% +9.0 (1.0 off)
Pythagorean 30.1% 69.9% -
Efficiency 3.2% 96.8% -
Adjusted Efficiency 17.5% 82.5% -
Log Adjusted 17.7% 82.3% -

Actual: Duke Blue Devils +10 (79-69). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Florida State Seminoles

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Douglas 39 10-19 4-8 4-5 1 2 1 0 2 28 11 -
C. Singleton 32 5-8 4-5 1-2 9 1 0 3 2 15 18 -
J. DeMercy 21 0-2 0-0 2-2 2 1 0 0 1 2 2 -
S. Alabi 19 3-8 0-0 4-5 5 0 0 1 0 10 8 -
D. Kitchen 19 0-3 0-2 0-0 5 2 0 0 3 0 1 -
R. Reid 18 2-3 0-0 0-0 3 0 1 0 1 4 4 -
D. Dulkys 18 1-3 1-2 0-0 0 2 0 0 0 3 2 -
L. Loucks 15 2-3 0-1 2-3 3 1 0 0 1 6 6 -
U. Echefu 14 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 1 3 0 0 -
X. Gibson 3 0-0 0-0 1-2 2 0 0 0 0 1 3 -
B. Hoff 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Duke Blue Devils

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
K. Singler 40 5-16 4-10 0-0 4 2 1 1 0 14 6 -
G. Henderson 38 9-17 4-7 5-8 2 4 1 1 2 27 16 -
J. Scheyer 38 6-10 4-6 13-15 4 2 1 0 2 29 24 -
N. Smith 25 3-6 0-2 0-0 2 3 0 0 0 6 5 -
L. Thomas 19 1-6 0-0 0-1 8 1 0 0 0 2 5 -
D. McClure 16 0-1 0-0 1-2 5 0 2 0 0 1 7 -
E. Williams 13 0-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
B. Zoubek 9 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 0 0 1 0 0 7 -
G. Paulus 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

* = starter