Model Predictions
| Model | Florida State Seminoles | Duke Blue Devils | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 20.6% | 79.4% | +9.1 | ✓ (0.9 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 32.1% | 67.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 12.1% | 87.9% | +10.9 | ✓ (0.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 39.7% | 60.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 11.8% | 88.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 11.8% | 88.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 27.6% | 72.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Duke Blue Devils +10 (79-69). Ratings: 2008-09 season-end ratings.
Florida State Seminoles
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Toney Douglas | 39 | 10-19 | 4-8 | 4-5 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 28 | 11 | - |
| Chris Singleton | 32 | 5-8 | 4-5 | 1-2 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 15 | 18 | - |
| J. DeMercy | 21 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Solomon Alabi | 19 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 8 | - |
| Derwin Kitchen | 19 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Ryan Reid | 18 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Deividas Dulkys | 18 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Luke Loucks | 15 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 6 | - |
| U. Echefu | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | - |
| X. Gibson | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | - |
| B. Hoff | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Duke Blue Devils
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyle Singler | 40 | 5-16 | 4-10 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 6 | - |
| Gerald Henderson | 38 | 9-17 | 4-7 | 5-8 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 27 | 16 | - |
| Jon Scheyer | 38 | 6-10 | 4-6 | 13-15 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 29 | 24 | - |
| Nolan Smith | 25 | 3-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Lance Thomas | 19 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
| David McClure | 16 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | - |
| Elliot Williams | 13 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| B. Zoubek | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - |
| G. Paulus | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter