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2009-03-14

Model Predictions

Model Cal Poly Mustangs UC Santa Barbara Gauchos Spread Result
Elo 19.8% 80.2% -
Bradley-Terry 37.7% 62.3% -
Margin 15.6% 84.4% +9.3 (2.3 off)
Pythagorean 42.4% 57.6% -

Actual: UC Santa Barbara Gauchos +7 (64-57). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Cal Poly Mustangs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Harrison 0 6-10 1-3 2-3 8 1 4 0 3 15 15 -
K. Santiago 0 3-16 0-0 1-2 3 1 1 0 1 7 -5 -
L. McBride 0 3-5 2-3 2-2 4 3 1 0 1 10 12 -
A. Stewart 0 2-6 1-3 2-2 0 2 0 0 2 7 1 -
B. Tratter 0 2-6 0-1 0-0 0 1 0 0 1 4 -2 -

UC Santa Barbara Gauchos

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Johnson 0 2-3 0-0 0-0 6 0 1 0 1 4 7 -
J. Green 0 6-9 0-0 1-3 11 1 0 2 3 13 15 -
W. Warren 0 1-2 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 5 2 -4 -
S. Gibbons 0 3-9 2-7 0-0 1 5 1 0 1 8 5 -
L. Pedersen 0 2-10 2-6 2-2 4 4 3 0 5 8 4 -

* = starter