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2009-03-14

Model Predictions

Model Akron Zips Buffalo Bulls Spread Result
Elo 50.9% 49.1% -0.8 โœ“ (11.2 off)
Bradley-Terry 43.0% 57.0% - โœ—
Margin 47.3% 52.7% +0.6 โœ— (12.6 off)
Pythagorean 51.6% 48.4% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 59.2% 40.8% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 59.4% 40.6% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 48.9% 51.1% - โœ—

Actual: Buffalo Bulls -12 (53-65). Ratings: 2008-09 season-end ratings.

RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.

Akron Zips

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Steve McNees * 31 2-4 2-4 2-4 2 5 1 0 2 8 10 -
Nate Linhart * 31 3-5 0-1 0-1 9 0 1 1 0 6 12 -
Darryl Roberts * 30 3-5 2-3 2-2 2 0 1 0 1 10 7 -
Chris McKnight * 26 4-7 0-0 4-4 3 0 0 0 1 12 7 -
Nikola Cvetinovic * 15 1-2 0-0 1-2 2 2 0 0 1 3 4 -
Brett McKnight 27 4-9 2-3 6-10 4 2 2 0 3 16 12 -
Mike Bardo 14 0-0 0-0 0-4 0 0 0 1 1 0 0 -
Humpty Hitchens 14 4-6 2-3 0-0 0 1 2 0 1 10 6 -
Jimmy Conyers 9 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 -
Brett McClanahan 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 -

Buffalo Bulls

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Calvin Betts * 33 2-7 1-5 7-8 7 0 2 0 3 12 11 -
Greg Gamble * 33 5-7 0-1 1-2 4 2 1 0 4 11 7 -
Rodney Pierce * 28 1-9 1-5 1-2 3 2 0 0 3 4 -3 -
Titus Robinson * 17 3-5 0-0 0-2 5 1 1 0 1 6 7 -
Mitchell Watt * 16 0-2 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 1 0 0 -
Andy Robinson 20 2-6 0-1 1-2 4 0 0 0 1 5 2 -
Max Boudreau 20 3-6 0-0 2-3 5 0 0 0 1 8 6 -
Byron Mulkey 12 1-2 1-2 2-2 2 1 0 0 0 5 6 -
John Boyer 10 0-2 0-1 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 -
Jawaan Alston 7 1-2 0-0 0-2 0 0 0 1 0 2 1 -
Sean Smiley 4 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

* = starter