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2009-03-14

Model Predictions

Model Buffalo Bulls Ball State Cardinals Spread Result
Elo 12.5% 87.5% -
Bradley-Terry 46.4% 53.6% -
Margin 41.4% 58.6% +1.9 (12.1 off)
Pythagorean 46.3% 53.7% -

Actual: Ball State Cardinals +14 (68-54). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Buffalo Bulls

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Fortman 0 2-15 0-5 6-6 10 4 0 1 2 10 8 -
J. Schiebner 0 3-9 1-2 1-1 4 3 0 1 0 8 7 -
K. Brown 0 8-12 0-0 5-6 6 0 2 2 2 21 17 -
D. Smith 0 1-3 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 3 2 -2 -
B. Hedderson 0 1-5 0-1 0-0 8 5 1 0 4 2 7 -

Ball State Cardinals

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
E. Maggert 0 2-7 0-1 2-3 6 0 0 0 1 6 4 -
D. Gratton 0 6-15 2-6 0-0 6 2 2 4 2 14 11 -
K. Jarrett 0 1-7 1-2 4-4 3 3 2 0 1 7 7 -
P. Green 0 3-9 0-2 2-2 7 2 3 0 0 8 11 -
A. Mcdonald 0 2-5 2-4 4-4 2 4 0 0 1 10 10 -

* = starter