Model Predictions
| Model | Florida State Seminoles | North Carolina Tar Heels | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 13.2% | 86.8% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 39.6% | 60.4% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 30.9% | 69.1% | +4.4 | ✗ (7.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 27.0% | 73.0% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 4.7% | 95.3% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 4.7% | 95.3% | - | ✗ |
Actual: North Carolina Tar Heels -3 (70-73). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Florida State Seminoles
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Douglas | 38 | 10-18 | 3-8 | 4-5 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 27 | 14 | - |
| D. Kitchen | 36 | 4-6 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 9 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 22 | - |
| S. Alabi | 32 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 11 | 9 | - |
| U. Echefu | 24 | 1-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | - |
| R. Reid | 18 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 9 | - |
| C. Singleton | 17 | 3-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 0 | - |
| D. Dulkys | 13 | 3-7 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 2 | - |
| J. DeMercy | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| X. Gibson | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| L. Loucks | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
North Carolina Tar Heels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W. Ellington | 36 | 8-17 | 4-9 | 4-7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 24 | 14 | - |
| B. Frasor | 33 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| T. Hansbrough | 33 | 5-12 | 0-0 | 12-14 | 11 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 22 | 25 | - |
| D. Green | 32 | 1-12 | 0-5 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | -1 | - |
| E. Davis | 23 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 10 | - |
| D. Thompson | 22 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 12 | - |
| L. Drew II | 17 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| T. Zeller | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter