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2009-03-14

Model Predictions

Model Baylor Bears Missouri Tigers Spread Result
Elo 67.5% 32.5% -
Bradley-Terry 68.2% 31.8% -
Margin 74.4% 25.6% -5.9 (18.9 off)
Pythagorean 39.9% 60.1% -
Efficiency 20.4% 79.6% -
Adjusted Efficiency 30.8% 69.2% -
Log Adjusted 30.8% 69.2% -

Actual: Missouri Tigers +13 (73-60). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Baylor Bears

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
K. Rogers 38 4-6 0-0 0-3 9 1 2 1 2 8 13 -
C. Jerrells 33 6-14 1-5 3-3 4 3 1 0 4 16 6 -
H. Dugat 32 4-8 1-3 3-3 4 2 1 0 1 12 10 -
T. Carter 28 2-7 1-6 1-4 1 1 0 0 2 6 -1 -
L. Dunn 28 3-17 2-9 3-3 6 0 2 0 2 11 0 -
J. Lomers 15 1-2 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 0 2 2 2 -
M. Diene 15 1-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 2 3 -
A. Jones 11 1-1 1-1 0-0 0 1 1 0 0 3 4 -
K. Wright 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Missouri Tigers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Carroll 32 7-13 1-2 5-9 9 0 3 0 2 20 17 -
J.T. Tiller 31 1-4 0-2 2-3 7 3 1 1 1 4 11 -
Z. Taylor 29 3-7 1-1 2-4 5 4 0 1 2 9 10 -
M. Lawrence 25 4-7 3-6 2-2 2 1 1 0 0 13 10 -
L. Lyons 24 5-9 0-0 3-3 7 2 0 0 4 13 9 -
K. English 17 2-5 2-4 1-1 2 2 1 0 1 7 6 -
K. Ramsey 15 1-1 0-0 2-2 1 1 0 1 0 4 6 -
M. Denmon 11 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 0 2 -
M. Paul 6 1-3 1-2 0-0 0 2 1 0 0 3 3 -
J. Safford 6 0-2 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 1 0 -1 -
L. Bowers 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter