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2009-03-14

Model Predictions

Model Ohio State Buckeyes Michigan State Spartans Spread Result
Elo 17.6% 82.4% -
Bradley-Terry 43.0% 57.0% -
Margin 34.1% 65.9% +3.6 (15.6 off)
Pythagorean 44.0% 56.0% -
Efficiency 13.1% 86.9% -
Adjusted Efficiency 31.1% 68.9% -
Log Adjusted 31.1% 68.9% -

Actual: Michigan State Spartans -12 (70-82). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Ohio State Buckeyes

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Diebler 40 5-11 5-10 2-2 5 3 1 0 0 17 15 -
E. Turner 37 4-11 0-0 10-11 10 5 1 2 5 18 20 -
W. Buford 35 6-8 1-2 1-2 9 2 1 0 4 14 14 -
D. Lauderdale 25 3-3 0-0 1-2 1 0 0 1 1 7 5 -
P.J. Hill 21 1-2 1-2 3-4 1 4 0 0 2 6 7 -
J. Simmons 20 3-5 2-2 0-0 0 2 0 0 1 8 4 -
B. Mullens 15 3-7 0-0 6-8 5 0 1 2 2 12 11 -
W. Offutt 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
K. Madsen 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 1 0 0 1 -

Michigan State Spartans

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
K. Lucas 34 5-12 0-3 7-8 3 1 1 0 2 17 8 -
G. Suton 27 5-5 0-0 0-0 8 1 0 0 3 10 11 -
R. Morgan 24 3-8 0-1 0-0 3 2 0 0 2 6 1 -
T. Walton 23 1-6 0-0 0-0 0 1 1 1 0 2 -1 -
C. Allen 22 2-11 0-6 1-2 3 0 1 0 1 5 -3 -
K. Lucious 18 5-12 3-9 3-4 3 1 2 0 1 16 9 -
D. Roe 16 1-1 0-0 2-2 6 1 0 0 1 4 9 -
D. Green 15 1-4 0-0 0-2 4 0 3 0 0 2 5 -
D. Summers 9 0-3 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -2 -
M. Gray 7 2-6 0-0 0-0 3 0 1 0 0 4 2 -
A. Thornton 3 2-3 0-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 4 3 -
I. Dahlman 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
T. Herzog 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter