Model Predictions
| Model | Mississippi State Bulldogs | LSU Tigers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 51.3% | 48.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 48.5% | 51.5% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 43.8% | 56.2% | +1.4 | ✗ (11.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 50.9% | 49.1% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 52.0% | 48.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 53.1% | 46.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 53.1% | 46.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: LSU Tigers -10 (57-67). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Mississippi State Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Bost | 31 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 4-6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 4 | - |
| B. Stewart | 30 | 3-10 | 1-5 | 10-12 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 12 | - |
| R. Johnson | 30 | 3-10 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 1 | - |
| J. Varnado | 28 | 7-13 | 0-0 | 5-12 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 0 | 19 | 21 | - |
| P. Turner | 25 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 15 | - |
| K. Augustus | 14 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 3 | - |
| B. Johnson | 12 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 7 | - |
| T. Beckham | 9 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| R. Osby | 9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| R. Benock | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| T. Luczak | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| C. Gay | 1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| B. Bolen | 1 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
LSU Tigers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Mitchell | 33 | 7-18 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 2 | - |
| B. Spencer | 32 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | - |
| M. Thornton | 30 | 5-19 | 0-6 | 4-7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 3 | - |
| G. Temple | 28 | 2-7 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 10 | - |
| Q. Thornton | 19 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 9 | - |
| T. Martin | 19 | 2-9 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 2 | - |
| S. Warren | 13 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 7 | - |
| C. Johnson | 10 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| C. Bass | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - |
| A. Farrer | 4 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Z. Kinsley | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| D. Graham | 1 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
* = starter