🐻⬇️🏀

@
2009-03-14

Model Predictions

Model Mississippi State Bulldogs LSU Tigers Spread Result
Elo 51.3% 48.7% -
Bradley-Terry 48.5% 51.5% -
Margin 43.8% 56.2% +1.4 (11.4 off)
Pythagorean 50.9% 49.1% -
Efficiency 52.0% 48.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 53.1% 46.9% -
Log Adjusted 53.1% 46.9% -

Actual: LSU Tigers -10 (57-67). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Mississippi State Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Bost 31 1-5 0-1 4-6 4 2 0 0 3 6 4 -
B. Stewart 30 3-10 1-5 10-12 4 2 0 0 1 17 12 -
R. Johnson 30 3-10 0-4 0-0 2 2 0 1 0 6 1 -
J. Varnado 28 7-13 0-0 5-12 7 0 1 7 0 19 21 -
P. Turner 25 2-6 1-2 1-1 11 2 1 1 0 6 15 -
K. Augustus 14 2-5 1-3 2-2 1 0 0 0 0 7 3 -
B. Johnson 12 0-1 0-0 2-2 6 1 0 0 1 2 7 -
T. Beckham 9 1-5 0-1 0-0 2 1 1 0 1 2 0 -
R. Osby 9 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
R. Benock 9 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 0 3 -
T. Luczak 1 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
C. Gay 1 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 1 -
B. Bolen 1 0-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

LSU Tigers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Mitchell 33 7-18 0-0 1-1 5 1 0 0 1 15 2 -
B. Spencer 32 1-5 1-2 0-0 5 1 0 0 2 3 2 -
M. Thornton 30 5-19 0-6 4-7 6 1 0 1 0 14 3 -
G. Temple 28 2-7 1-3 2-2 7 1 1 3 2 7 10 -
Q. Thornton 19 0-3 0-0 0-0 10 0 0 2 0 0 9 -
T. Martin 19 2-9 1-4 0-0 3 2 0 1 0 5 2 -
S. Warren 13 2-2 0-0 2-3 2 0 1 0 0 6 7 -
C. Johnson 10 1-5 0-0 0-0 5 1 0 0 1 2 2 -
C. Bass 8 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 4 0 0 0 0 5 -
A. Farrer 4 1-1 1-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 3 2 -
Z. Kinsley 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
D. Graham 1 1-2 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 1 0 2 2 -

* = starter