Model Predictions
| Model | Mississippi State Bulldogs | LSU Tigers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 40.4% | 59.6% | +2.3 | ✗ (12.3 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 30.3% | 69.7% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 27.2% | 72.8% | +5.4 | ✗ (15.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 42.6% | 57.4% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 31.9% | 68.1% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 31.8% | 68.2% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 38.0% | 62.0% | - | ✗ |
Actual: LSU Tigers -10 (57-67). Ratings: 2008-09 season-end ratings.
Mississippi State Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dee Bost * | 31 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 4-6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 4 | - |
| B. Stewart * | 30 | 3-10 | 1-5 | 10-12 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 12 | - |
| R. Johnson * | 30 | 3-10 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 1 | - |
| Jarvis Varnado * | 28 | 7-13 | 0-0 | 5-12 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 0 | 19 | 21 | - |
| P. Turner * | 25 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 15 | - |
| K. Augustus | 14 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 3 | - |
| B. Johnson | 12 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 7 | - |
| Twany Beckham | 9 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| R. Benock | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Romero Osby | 9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Taylor Luczak | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| C. Gay | 1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| B. Bolen | 1 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
LSU Tigers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tasmin Mitchell * | 33 | 7-18 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 2 | - |
| B. Spencer * | 32 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Marcus Thornton * | 30 | 5-19 | 0-6 | 4-7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 3 | - |
| Garrett Temple * | 28 | 2-7 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 10 | - |
| Chris Johnson * | 10 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Terry Martin | 19 | 2-9 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 2 | - |
| Q. Thornton | 19 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 9 | - |
| Storm Warren | 13 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 7 | - |
| Chris Bass | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - |
| A. Farrer | 4 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Zach Kinsley | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Delwan Graham | 1 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
* = starter