Model Predictions
| Model | Phoenix Mercury | Atlanta Dream | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 67.4% | 32.6% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 60.2% | 39.8% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 45.0% | 55.0% | +1.1 | ✓ (28.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 51.1% | 48.9% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Atlanta Dream +30 (106-76). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Taurasi | 28 | 4-13 | 0-3 | 3-4 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 9 | - |
| L. Willingham | 27 | 6-12 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 2 | - |
| C. Pondexter | 25 | 1-8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -4 | - |
| T. Smith | 25 | 6-12 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 15 | 11 | - |
| T. Johnson | 23 | 5-9 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 7 | - |
| D. Bonner | 23 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 6 | - |
| K. Swanier | 18 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 3 | - |
| K. Mazzante | 16 | 3-7 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 3 | - |
| B. Smith | 15 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
Atlanta Dream
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Snow | 24 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 14 | - |
| I. Latta | 24 | 4-8 | 1-4 | 7-7 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 12 | - |
| C. Holdsclaw | 22 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 5 | - |
| S. Lyttle | 22 | 7-12 | 0-1 | 1-3 | 12 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 20 | - |
| I. Castro | 22 | 5-10 | 4-5 | 2-3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 7 | - |
| E. de Souza | 19 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 1-6 | 14 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 13 | - |
| A. McCoughtry | 18 | 7-10 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 14 | - |
| S. Lehning | 16 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 1-4 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | - |
| J. Lacy | 15 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 5 | - |
| C. Miller | 13 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| T. Young | 6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | - |
* = starter