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2009-07-30

Model Predictions

Model Washington Mystics New York Liberty Spread Result
Elo 42.9% 57.1% -
Bradley-Terry 49.8% 50.2% -
Margin 34.7% 65.3% +3.5 (6.5 off)
Pythagorean 47.6% 52.4% -

Actual: New York Liberty -3 (75-78). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Washington Mystics

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Beard 35 12-18 1-2 3-5 6 2 3 1 2 28 20 -
L. Harding 35 4-9 1-2 0-0 1 4 1 0 0 9 6 -
C. Langhorne 33 3-6 0-0 1-2 11 0 0 1 7 7 6 -
C. Melvin 24 1-3 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 2 3 2 2 -
M. Currie 23 3-11 0-0 5-6 9 2 0 0 0 11 11 -
M. Coleman 17 1-4 0-2 0-0 1 1 1 0 0 2 1 -
N. Sanford 14 7-10 0-0 2-3 6 0 0 0 0 16 12 -
K. Mann 6 1-2 1-1 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 3 3 -
M. Ajavon 5 0-3 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 1 0 -2 -
N. Blue 5 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
B. Mosby 4 0-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 -2 -

New York Liberty

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Ayres 40 9-11 0-0 0-0 7 0 0 2 0 18 16 -
D. Glasser 38 7-13 2-4 0-0 2 3 1 0 1 16 8 -
R. Kuksiks 36 1-5 1-3 0-0 3 2 0 0 2 3 1 -
S. Christon 35 5-13 3-7 4-6 4 0 0 2 1 17 9 -
J. Harden 35 3-9 3-5 1-2 4 8 2 0 3 10 12 -
T. Abbott 32 4-6 3-5 1-2 0 0 1 0 1 12 6 -
L. Moore 30 3-6 1-1 1-2 4 3 3 0 0 8 12 -
J. McCarville 29 10-15 0-0 8-10 6 3 3 1 5 28 21 -
A. Battle 28 3-4 0-1 0-0 5 1 2 0 1 6 9 -
C. Kraayeveld 21 1-4 0-2 4-6 2 0 2 3 0 6 9 -
J. Shipp 19 2-5 0-2 0-0 2 3 1 0 0 4 5 -
T. Jackson-Jones 16 1-6 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 1 1 2 -1 -
L. Mitchell 10 0-3 0-0 0-0 1 3 0 0 1 0 0 -
E. Carson 9 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 1 2 0 -2 -
K. Vaughn 9 2-5 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 4 -2 -
S. Spencer 7 0-0 0-0 1-1 0 1 0 0 0 1 2 -
E. Larkins 6 0-2 0-0 3-4 3 0 0 1 0 3 5 -

* = starter