Model Predictions
| Model | Los Angeles Sparks | Chicago Sky | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 37.9% | 62.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 46.6% | 53.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 53.0% | 47.0% | - | ✗ |
| Pythagorean | 59.3% | 40.7% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 67.5% | 32.5% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 67.7% | 32.3% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 52.1% | 47.9% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Chicago Sky +12 (75-63). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Los Angeles Sparks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tina Thompson * | 37 | 5-20 | 1-7 | 2-2 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 3 | - |
| DeLisha Milton-Jones * | 34 | 5-14 | 2-3 | 3-4 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 15 | 6 | - |
| Candace Parker * | 33 | 4-12 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 7 | - |
| Betty Lennox * | 26 | 5-12 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 5 | - |
| Kristi Harrower * | 17 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | - |
| Vanessa Hayden | 17 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 8 | - |
| Noelle Quinn | 17 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | - |
| Shannon Bobbitt | 8 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Lindsay Wisdom-Hylton | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Marie Ferdinand-Harris | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Chicago Sky
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Candice Dupree * | 36 | 1-11 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Jia Perkins * | 25 | 7-10 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 13 | - |
| Sylvia Fowles * | 24 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 12 | - |
| Dominique Canty * | 21 | 3-4 | 1-1 | 5-5 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 14 | - |
| Brooke Wyckoff * | 20 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Shyra Ely-Gash | 23 | 5-8 | 3-4 | 3-4 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 16 | 12 | - |
| K.B. Sharp | 18 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | - |
| Chen Nan | 15 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Erin Thorn | 14 | 2-4 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | - |
* = starter