Model Predictions
| Model | Phoenix Mercury | Connecticut Sun | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 74.4% | 25.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 64.6% | 35.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 49.5% | 50.5% | +0.1 | ✗ (15.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 53.5% | 46.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Connecticut Sun -15 (80-95). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Taurasi | 28 | 6-13 | 3-7 | 2-2 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 17 | 15 | - |
| T. Smith | 27 | 4-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 13 | - |
| C. Pondexter | 26 | 12-18 | 1-2 | 4-4 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 29 | 16 | - |
| L. Willingham | 25 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 6 | - |
| T. Johnson | 25 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 11 | - |
| D. Bonner | 24 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 8-10 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 13 | - |
| K. Mazzante | 20 | 3-7 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 4 | - |
| K. Swanier | 15 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 0 | - |
| B. Smith | 9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
Connecticut Sun
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Gruda | 27 | 5-12 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 12 | 8 | - |
| A. Jones | 26 | 5-17 | 0-1 | 4-6 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 14 | 3 | - |
| L. Whalen | 26 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 13 | - |
| A. Jekabsone-Zogota | 25 | 7-12 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 6 | - |
| C. Black | 21 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 8 | - |
| E. Phillips | 20 | 2-7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | - |
| A. Holt | 18 | 0-5 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 9 | - |
| K. Brown | 18 | 4-8 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 4 | - |
| T. White | 10 | 1-6 | 0-3 | 1-1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -1 | - |
| K. Gardin | 10 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | - |
* = starter