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2009-07-28

Model Predictions

Model Seattle Storm Las Vegas Aces Spread Result
Elo 85.4% 14.6% - โœ—
Bradley-Terry 84.4% 15.6% - โœ—
Margin 82.2% 17.8% -8.4 โœ— (11.4 off)
Pythagorean 64.8% 35.2% - โœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 86.4% 13.6% - โœ—
Log Adjusted 86.5% 13.5% - โœ—
Points Off/Def 67.0% 33.0% - โœ—

Actual: Las Vegas Aces +3 (74-71). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Seattle Storm

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Sue Bird * 35 5-11 2-5 0-0 5 5 2 0 2 12 11 -
Swin Cash * 34 5-12 0-2 0-0 11 4 1 1 4 10 11 -
Lauren Jackson * 33 7-11 2-3 3-5 8 0 0 1 3 19 14 -
Tanisha Wright * 31 5-10 0-0 4-5 1 3 0 0 0 14 8 -
Camille Smith * 28 4-7 0-1 3-5 7 0 0 0 3 11 8 -
Shannon Johnson 18 0-2 0-1 2-2 1 3 1 0 2 2 3 -
Katie Gearlds 13 1-2 1-2 0-0 2 1 0 0 2 3 2 -
Janell Burse 3 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

Las Vegas Aces

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Sophia Young-Malcolm * 35 5-18 3-7 2-5 5 3 2 1 2 15 6 -
Becky Hammon * 33 9-14 4-6 2-2 4 4 0 0 3 24 15 -
Vickie Johnson * 24 1-7 1-2 2-2 6 3 2 1 0 5 10 -
Belinda Snell * 23 2-9 2-7 0-0 5 2 2 0 1 6 5 -
Erin Perperoglou * 19 0-4 0-1 2-2 2 2 0 0 0 2 2 -
Megan Frazee 27 7-10 1-1 0-0 7 0 1 0 2 15 11 -
Edwige Lawson-Wade 14 1-2 1-2 0-0 2 3 0 0 1 3 5 -
Helen Darling 11 0-4 0-3 2-2 1 1 0 0 0 2 0 -
Ruth Riley 9 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 2 3 -

* = starter