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2009-07-28

Model Predictions

Model Washington Mystics Indiana Fever Spread Result
Elo 44.0% 56.0% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 43.9% 56.1% - โœ“
Margin 33.9% 66.1% +3.7 โœ“ (0.3 off)
Pythagorean 45.5% 54.5% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 44.1% 55.9% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 44.0% 56.0% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 41.0% 59.0% - โœ“

Actual: Indiana Fever +4 (85-81). Ratings: 2010 season-end ratings.

Washington Mystics

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Chasity Melvin * 34 6-7 0-0 2-3 5 4 1 2 1 14 18 -
Lindsey Harding * 33 6-16 1-2 0-0 5 4 3 0 6 13 3 -
Alana Beard * 32 9-19 0-6 1-4 4 1 1 0 3 19 3 -
Crystal Langhorne * 30 5-11 0-0 1-3 8 0 1 0 3 11 6 -
Monique Currie * 21 5-9 4-6 0-0 3 2 2 0 1 14 11 -
Marissa Coleman 18 1-4 0-1 3-4 3 1 1 0 1 5 5 -
Matee Ajavon 9 1-3 1-1 2-2 3 0 0 0 0 5 5 -
Nakia Sanford 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 1 2 0 2 -
Bernice Mosby 5 0-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
Nikki Blue 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 3 0 0 0 0 4 -
Kristen Mann 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -

Indiana Fever

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Katie Douglas * 36 9-19 1-7 15-16 9 3 3 0 6 34 24 -
Ebony Hoffman * 35 2-10 1-3 5-6 10 1 2 1 3 10 11 -
Tamika Catchings * 35 6-11 3-4 0-2 6 2 1 1 3 15 11 -
Tully Bevilaqua * 25 3-4 1-1 0-4 2 3 3 1 2 7 10 -
Tammy Sutton-Brown * 22 0-4 0-0 2-2 1 1 1 0 2 2 -1 -
Jessica Moore 21 1-2 0-0 2-2 5 1 2 0 0 4 10 -
Briann January 14 2-3 2-3 4-4 1 1 1 0 1 10 9 -
Tamecka Dixon 9 1-1 1-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 3 1 -

* = starter