Model Predictions
| Model | Phoenix Mercury | New York Liberty | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 79.9% | 20.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 71.2% | 28.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 55.5% | 44.5% | -1.2 | ✓ (4.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 56.7% | 43.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: New York Liberty -6 (88-94). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Taurasi | 33 | 10-19 | 4-8 | 10-10 | 13 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 34 | 26 | - |
| C. Pondexter | 32 | 3-16 | 0-4 | 4-4 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 10 | -3 | - |
| T. Smith | 29 | 3-7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 7 | 12 | - |
| T. Johnson | 27 | 3-8 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 13 | - |
| L. Willingham | 22 | 8-9 | 1-1 | 3-3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 15 | - |
| D. Bonner | 22 | 3-10 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 9 | - |
| K. Mazzante | 14 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| K. Swanier | 13 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | - |
| B. Smith | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
New York Liberty
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Christon | 34 | 8-15 | 4-7 | 1-1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 21 | 13 | - |
| L. Moore | 29 | 3-8 | 0-3 | 3-4 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 12 | - |
| E. Carson | 27 | 5-13 | 0-3 | 4-4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 3 | - |
| J. McCarville | 25 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 13 | - |
| C. Kraayeveld | 22 | 4-12 | 1-4 | 4-4 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 8 | - |
| T. Jackson-Jones | 18 | 4-10 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 8 | - |
| K. Vaughn | 14 | 4-10 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 5 | - |
| S. Spencer | 13 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| L. Mitchell | 11 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | - |
| A. Battle | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
* = starter