Model Predictions
| Model | UC Santa Barbara Gauchos | Cal State Northridge Matadors | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 34.7% | 65.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 37.6% | 62.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 21.0% | 79.0% | +7.3 | ✓ (0.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 41.6% | 58.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 28.0% | 72.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 27.8% | 72.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 34.5% | 65.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Cal State Northridge Matadors +7 (67-60). Predictions use season-end ratings.
UC Santa Barbara Gauchos
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Devine | 32 | 4-10 | 0-1 | 8-8 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 16 | 11 | - |
| J. Nunnally | 26 | 3-7 | 1-3 | 3-4 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 6 | - |
| J. Serna | 26 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 9 | - |
| P. Roemer | 24 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - |
| W. Brew | 24 | 1-6 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | -1 | - |
| D.J. Posley | 24 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | - |
| J. Weiner | 14 | 3-7 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 2 | - |
| J. Powell | 9 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| G. Somogyi | 8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -1 | - |
| J. Byrd | 7 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| S. Phippen | 6 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Cal State Northridge Matadors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Mels | 34 | 10-19 | 3-4 | 5-5 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 28 | 16 | - |
| R. Haynes | 34 | 1-6 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 3 | - |
| K. Daniels | 30 | 3-7 | 0-1 | 2-5 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 8 | 3 | - |
| W. Galick | 28 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 6 | - |
| T. Townsend | 25 | 6-9 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 14 | 16 | - |
| V. Cordell | 23 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5 | - |
| M. Hill | 14 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| T. Taylor | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| T. Osunsanmi | 3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| M. Wallace | 2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | - |
* = starter