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2009-07-22

Model Predictions

Model New York Liberty Chicago Sky Spread Result
Elo 28.4% 71.6% - โœ—
Bradley-Terry 34.9% 65.1% - โœ—
Margin 44.2% 55.8% +1.3 โœ— (8.3 off)
Pythagorean 53.0% 47.0% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 59.1% 40.9% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 59.2% 40.8% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 48.7% 51.3% - โœ—

Actual: Chicago Sky -7 (70-77). Predictions use season-end ratings.

New York Liberty

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
C. Kraayeveld 31 4-11 4-8 2-2 8 1 0 0 4 14 8 -
J. McCarville 30 2-7 0-0 0-0 3 3 1 0 2 4 2 -
L. Moore 27 4-7 1-2 0-0 3 4 2 0 2 9 9 -
S. Christon 27 3-7 1-3 4-5 4 3 3 0 2 11 12 -
A. Battle 18 4-5 1-2 1-2 5 1 1 0 1 10 11 -
E. Carson 18 2-7 0-1 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 4 -1 -
S. Spencer 17 5-6 5-6 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 15 11 -
Leilani Mitchell 13 1-4 0-2 0-0 0 3 0 0 0 2 1 -
T. Jackson-Jones 10 2-4 0-0 0-0 1 2 1 0 1 4 3 -
Kia Vaughn 9 2-3 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 1 4 3 -

Chicago Sky

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Candice Dupree 35 4-9 1-3 0-0 11 1 1 0 3 9 10 -
Sylvia Fowles 32 6-10 0-0 3-4 9 3 1 0 5 15 13 -
E. Thorn 26 5-12 3-6 1-1 4 1 0 0 0 14 7 -
Kristi Toliver 26 1-10 0-6 0-0 4 3 0 0 4 2 -5 -
J. Perkins 25 5-11 4-6 0-0 3 3 1 0 2 14 8 -
B. Wyckoff 20 1-3 1-2 0-0 1 2 0 2 0 3 5 -
D. Canty 14 2-5 0-0 0-0 1 4 2 0 0 4 6 -
C. Nan 11 2-5 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 1 1 4 2 -
A. Herrington 7 1-1 0-0 3-4 1 1 1 0 0 5 7 -
S. Ely-Gash 4 0-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 0 0 -

* = starter