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2009-07-22

Model Predictions

Model Atlanta Dream Detroit Shock Spread Result
Elo 29.3% 70.7% -
Bradley-Terry 38.0% 62.0% -
Margin 33.4% 66.6% +3.8 (6.8 off)
Pythagorean 47.1% 52.9% -

Actual: Detroit Shock -3 (95-98). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Atlanta Dream

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
C. Holdsclaw 45 4-17 1-4 4-4 4 4 4 0 3 13 5 -
S. Lyttle 41 5-10 0-0 4-6 9 0 0 0 4 14 9 -
I. Latta 34 5-5 2-2 10-10 0 3 1 0 4 22 17 -
M. Snow 31 5-9 0-0 6-9 12 1 2 3 1 16 24 -
A. McCoughtry 27 6-14 1-4 7-7 3 2 6 0 3 20 14 -
E. de Souza 18 1-5 0-0 1-1 6 2 0 0 3 3 3 -
I. Castro 18 4-10 0-2 2-2 1 1 1 0 0 10 3 -
S. Lehning 10 0-1 0-1 0-0 2 2 0 0 0 0 3 -

Detroit Shock

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Nolan 42 3-20 0-3 4-4 6 9 1 1 3 10 4 -
T. McWilliams-Franklin 42 7-11 0-0 1-2 5 5 0 1 4 15 11 -
K. Smith 39 4-7 3-5 0-0 1 0 2 0 6 11 1 -
K. Braxton 31 12-16 0-0 1-2 12 3 1 2 1 25 26 -
A. Hornbuckle 24 5-7 1-3 1-2 3 4 3 0 1 12 14 -
S. Zellous 20 6-10 0-1 8-9 1 1 1 0 1 20 12 -
O. Sanni 16 1-7 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 0 0 2 -1 -
A. DeForge 7 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 2 1 0 1 0 2 -
K. Haynie 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter