Model Predictions
| Model | Michigan Wolverines | Illinois Fighting Illini | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 33.2% | 66.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 53.6% | 46.4% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 56.2% | 43.8% | -1.4 | ✗ (11.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 37.5% | 62.5% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 28.0% | 72.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 31.9% | 68.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 31.9% | 68.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Illinois Fighting Illini +10 (60-50). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Michigan Wolverines
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Harris | 38 | 3-11 | 1-5 | 2-3 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 6 | - |
| Z. Novak | 36 | 4-8 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 11 | - |
| D. Sims | 34 | 6-19 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 1 | - |
| S. Douglass | 31 | 2-8 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 2 | - |
| C.J. Lee | 26 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 3 | - |
| D. Merritt | 14 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | - |
| L. Lucas-Perry | 9 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Z. Gibson | 6 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | - |
| A. Wright | 4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| J. Shepherd | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Illinois Fighting Illini
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Davis | 36 | 11-19 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 22 | 18 | - |
| T. Meacham | 35 | 2-6 | 2-5 | 4-5 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 14 | - |
| D. McCamey | 34 | 4-10 | 2-6 | 2-2 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 9 | - |
| M. Tisdale | 33 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 12 | - |
| C. Brock | 31 | 2-7 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 3 | - |
| J. Jordan | 16 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| D. Keller | 10 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| A. Legion | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
* = starter