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2009-03-13

Model Predictions

Model Baylor Bears Texas Longhorns Spread Result
Elo 46.3% 53.7% -
Bradley-Terry 52.4% 47.6% -
Margin 52.2% 47.8% -0.5 (5.5 off)
Pythagorean 37.7% 62.3% -
Efficiency 25.3% 74.7% -
Adjusted Efficiency 22.1% 77.9% -
Log Adjusted 22.0% 78.0% -

Actual: Texas Longhorns -6 (70-76). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Baylor Bears

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
K. Rogers 37 8-14 0-0 4-6 5 0 2 1 0 20 14 -
C. Jerrells 35 4-13 1-4 4-4 5 4 2 0 2 13 9 -
T. Carter 33 3-8 2-5 0-0 3 3 2 0 0 8 8 -
L. Dunn 29 4-10 1-4 7-8 7 1 0 0 4 16 10 -
H. Dugat 28 6-9 1-3 4-4 2 3 1 0 0 17 14 -
J. Lomers 16 1-2 0-0 0-0 2 0 1 1 2 2 2 -
M. Diene 13 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 1 0 2 -
Q. Acy 5 0-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
A. Jones 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -

Texas Longhorns

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A.J. Abrams 40 8-17 4-10 0-0 1 3 1 1 1 20 8 -
D. James 30 4-7 1-3 2-4 8 1 1 1 2 11 13 -
D. Pittman 24 3-5 0-0 1-5 3 0 0 1 3 7 3 -
D. Balbay 23 1-1 0-0 2-2 0 6 0 0 2 4 7 -
J. Mason 19 1-4 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 2 2 -1 -
G. Johnson 18 3-7 0-0 4-4 3 0 0 1 2 10 5 -
C. Atchley 14 2-3 1-2 0-0 3 0 0 1 0 5 6 -
V. Ward 14 2-4 0-0 3-3 2 1 0 1 0 7 7 -
C. Chapman 9 1-4 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 1 0 2 1 -
H. Smith 9 1-2 0-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 2 2 -

* = starter