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2009-03-13

Model Predictions

Model Virginia Tech Hokies North Carolina Tar Heels Spread Result
Elo 29.2% 70.8% -
Bradley-Terry 27.0% 73.0% -
Margin 17.3% 82.7% +8.6 (5.6 off)
Pythagorean 34.1% 65.9% -
Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% -
Log Adjusted 1.0% 99.0% -

Actual: North Carolina Tar Heels +3 (79-76). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Virginia Tech Hokies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Delaney 39 5-15 3-7 4-7 4 10 0 0 2 17 14 -
D. Hudson 32 3-7 1-4 0-0 1 3 1 1 1 7 5 -
C. Diakite 31 3-4 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 1 0 6 6 -
A.D. Vassallo 30 10-22 4-7 2-2 10 2 1 1 1 26 17 -
J. Thompson 24 4-6 0-0 1-1 4 0 0 0 1 9 6 -
J. Allen 23 4-8 0-0 1-1 7 0 1 1 2 9 8 -
H. Thorns 16 1-3 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 2 0 -
T. Bell 3 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
V. Davila 2 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

North Carolina Tar Heels

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
B. Frasor 37 1-4 1-4 1-2 4 3 0 0 1 4 6 -
W. Ellington 35 6-10 4-7 0-1 5 4 0 0 0 16 15 -
T. Hansbrough 34 9-17 0-0 10-10 8 2 3 0 0 28 24 -
D. Green 29 2-13 1-7 0-0 5 1 0 1 2 5 -3 -
D. Thompson 23 5-10 0-0 2-4 7 1 1 2 2 12 11 -
E. Davis 19 4-6 0-0 2-4 6 0 1 1 2 10 10 -
L. Drew II 14 0-2 0-1 0-0 3 4 0 0 2 0 3 -
J. Watts 5 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -
T. Zeller 4 2-2 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 4 5 -

* = starter