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2009-03-13

Model Predictions

Model Boston College Eagles Duke Blue Devils Spread Result
Elo 3.0% 97.0% -
Bradley-Terry 9.2% 90.8% -
Margin 3.3% 96.7% +18.7 (17.7 off)
Pythagorean 35.9% 64.1% -
Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 7.0% 93.0% -
Log Adjusted 7.0% 93.0% -

Actual: Duke Blue Devils +1 (66-65). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Boston College Eagles

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Rice 39 5-15 2-5 5-7 3 4 0 0 1 17 8 -
J. Trapani 35 4-12 1-3 3-4 9 1 2 1 3 12 10 -
R. Sanders 27 3-12 1-7 0-0 3 2 0 0 2 7 -2 -
J. Southern 25 3-6 0-0 1-1 4 1 0 1 1 7 6 -
B. Paris 24 5-5 3-3 2-3 0 2 0 0 3 15 9 -
C. Raji 24 3-9 0-1 1-1 9 1 0 0 0 7 8 -
T. Roche 17 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
R. Jackson 5 0-1 0-1 0-0 2 0 0 1 2 0 0 -
C. Dunn 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

Duke Blue Devils

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
K. Singler 40 10-15 3-6 3-5 9 1 2 6 2 26 27 -
J. Scheyer 39 4-9 4-9 2-3 6 2 1 0 2 14 12 -
E. Williams 36 1-4 0-1 0-0 8 1 2 0 2 2 7 -
L. Thomas 25 1-1 0-0 3-4 5 1 1 0 2 5 9 -
G. Henderson 22 5-12 1-2 5-10 1 2 1 0 3 16 5 -
N. Smith 18 1-5 1-2 0-0 1 0 1 0 1 3 -1 -
D. McClure 14 0-1 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 2 0 0 5 -
B. Zoubek 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
G. Paulus 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter