Model Predictions
| Model | Minnesota Golden Gophers | Michigan State Spartans | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 7.0% | 93.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 26.2% | 73.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 15.5% | 84.5% | +9.3 | ✓ (1.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 48.0% | 52.0% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 12.2% | 87.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 26.2% | 73.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 26.2% | 73.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Michigan State Spartans +8 (64-56). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Minnesota Golden Gophers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Sampson III | 28 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4-8 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 6 | - |
| A. Nolen | 27 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | - |
| D. Johnson | 25 | 6-11 | 2-3 | 5-10 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 19 | 15 | - |
| D. Bostick | 23 | 6-13 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 0 | - |
| L. Westbrook | 23 | 4-11 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 10 | -1 | - |
| P. Carter | 19 | 3-8 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 7 | - |
| B. Hoffarber | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| D. Joseph | 16 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| C. Iverson | 12 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| J. Abu-Shamala | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | - |
| T. Busch | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Michigan State Spartans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Lucas | 33 | 3-10 | 2-4 | 4-8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 8 | - |
| T. Walton | 30 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 12 | - |
| C. Allen | 26 | 5-11 | 2-5 | 5-6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 8 | - |
| G. Suton | 25 | 3-3 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 16 | - |
| D. Summers | 18 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -3 | - |
| D. Roe | 18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | - |
| R. Morgan | 17 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | - |
| D. Green | 17 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 7 | - |
| M. Gray | 6 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 5-8 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 13 | - |
| I. Ibok | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| K. Lucious | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| A. Thornton | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter