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2009-03-13

Model Predictions

Model Kentucky Wildcats LSU Tigers Spread Result
Elo 66.9% 33.1% -
Bradley-Terry 68.8% 31.2% -
Margin 71.2% 28.8% -5.0 (14.0 off)
Pythagorean 46.9% 53.1% -
Efficiency 41.7% 58.3% -
Adjusted Efficiency 55.1% 44.9% -
Log Adjusted 55.3% 44.7% -

Actual: LSU Tigers +9 (67-58). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Kentucky Wildcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
P. Patterson 40 4-9 0-0 7-9 10 3 0 3 2 15 20 -
P. Stevenson 33 1-3 0-0 3-4 2 1 1 2 4 5 4 -
J. Meeks 31 3-9 0-3 2-2 3 3 0 0 5 8 0 -
R. Harris 31 5-8 1-2 0-2 4 2 0 1 1 11 9 -
M. Porter 28 3-6 3-6 0-0 2 1 1 0 0 9 7 -
D. Miller 22 3-7 0-2 2-2 3 1 2 0 0 8 7 -
K. Galloway 13 1-3 0-0 0-2 4 0 1 1 2 2 3 -
J. Harrellson 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
A.J. Stewart 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

LSU Tigers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Mitchell 38 6-15 0-0 2-4 8 4 4 0 1 14 14 -
M. Thornton 38 8-17 3-7 2-4 5 3 2 0 2 21 12 -
B. Spencer 37 3-13 3-8 7-8 4 3 3 0 3 16 10 -
G. Temple 36 4-10 1-5 0-0 4 4 0 2 2 9 7 -
C. Johnson 32 2-4 0-0 0-0 8 0 1 2 3 4 8 -
T. Martin 11 1-1 1-1 0-0 1 1 0 0 1 3 3 -
Q. Thornton 8 0-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 1 0 0 2 -

* = starter