Model Predictions
| Model | Kentucky Wildcats | LSU Tigers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 29.5% | 70.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 28.8% | 71.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 40.8% | 59.2% | +2.1 | ✓ (6.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 46.4% | 53.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 50.1% | 49.9% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 50.2% | 49.8% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 45.3% | 54.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: LSU Tigers +9 (67-58). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Kentucky Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| P. Patterson | 40 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 7-9 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 15 | 20 | - |
| P. Stevenson | 33 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 4 | - |
| J. Meeks | 31 | 3-9 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 8 | 0 | - |
| R. Harris | 31 | 5-8 | 1-2 | 0-2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 9 | - |
| M. Porter | 28 | 3-6 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 7 | - |
| D. Miller | 22 | 3-7 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 7 | - |
| K. Galloway | 13 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 | - |
| J. Harrellson | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| A.J. Stewart | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
LSU Tigers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Mitchell | 38 | 6-15 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 14 | - |
| M. Thornton | 38 | 8-17 | 3-7 | 2-4 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 21 | 12 | - |
| B. Spencer | 37 | 3-13 | 3-8 | 7-8 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 10 | - |
| G. Temple | 36 | 4-10 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 7 | - |
| C. Johnson | 32 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 8 | - |
| T. Martin | 11 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Q. Thornton | 8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
* = starter