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2009-03-13

Model Predictions

Model Holy Cross Crusaders American University Eagles Spread Result
Elo 25.7% 74.3% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 22.4% 77.6% - โœ“
Margin 22.7% 77.3% +6.7 โœ“ (9.3 off)
Pythagorean 42.2% 57.8% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 26.6% 73.4% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 26.5% 73.5% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 35.4% 64.6% - โœ“

Actual: American University Eagles +16 (73-57). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Holy Cross Crusaders

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
E. Meister 35 4-12 0-0 4-5 12 0 0 2 2 12 12 -
R.J. Evans 35 7-16 0-1 2-7 8 1 2 1 1 16 11 -
A. Beinert 30 2-7 1-3 2-2 2 0 0 0 4 7 -2 -
C. Cunningham 27 1-7 0-4 2-2 2 2 0 0 1 4 0 -
A. May 26 0-5 0-1 2-2 6 1 2 1 3 2 4 -
P. Doherty 24 4-8 3-6 2-2 2 4 0 0 3 13 8 -
A. Vander Baan 10 1-2 1-1 0-0 0 0 0 1 0 3 2 -
A. Keister 8 0-2 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
D. Brown 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
L. Dixon 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

American University Eagles

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Mercer 40 4-15 0-2 5-9 4 5 1 0 2 13 6 -
G. Carr 38 9-12 6-8 0-1 4 0 1 0 2 24 15 -
B. Gilmore 35 5-7 0-2 8-12 7 1 2 0 3 18 18 -
J. Nichols 25 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 1 2 3 0 0 10 -
N. Hendra 20 2-4 1-2 2-2 5 2 0 0 2 7 8 -
F. Borden 16 1-2 0-0 3-4 2 2 0 0 3 5 4 -
S. Lumpkins 15 1-1 0-0 1-4 3 1 1 1 0 3 8 -
S. Luptak 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
B. Simon 5 1-3 1-3 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 3 -1 -
F. Markusovic 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
J. Hill 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
M. Wilson 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter