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2009-03-13

Model Predictions

Model USC Trojans UCLA Bruins Spread Result
Elo 54.7% 45.3% -
Bradley-Terry 32.2% 67.8% -
Margin 21.2% 78.8% +7.2 (17.2 off)
Pythagorean 37.9% 62.1% -
Efficiency 10.5% 89.5% -
Adjusted Efficiency 13.7% 86.3% -
Log Adjusted 13.5% 86.5% -

Actual: UCLA Bruins -10 (55-65). Predictions use season-end ratings.

USC Trojans

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Hackett 40 3-8 0-1 2-4 4 4 2 0 9 8 1 -
D. Lewis 39 4-11 2-3 4-5 3 3 1 1 3 14 8 -
M. Simmons 38 3-5 0-0 0-2 4 1 1 1 4 6 4 -
D. DeRozan 33 7-12 1-1 6-8 13 2 2 0 5 21 21 -
T. Gibson 33 5-6 0-0 3-8 11 2 3 1 1 13 23 -
L. Washington 8 0-0 0-0 0-1 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
N. Vucevic 7 1-3 0-0 0-0 2 0 1 0 1 2 1 -
K. Wilkinson 1 0-0 0-0 1-2 1 0 0 0 1 1 1 -
M. Johnson 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

UCLA Bruins

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Shipp 34 7-16 2-5 3-4 3 2 2 0 3 19 7 -
A. Aboya 33 2-9 0-0 2-4 13 2 4 0 2 6 14 -
J. Holiday 31 0-8 0-2 1-2 7 3 5 0 4 1 4 -
D. Collison 30 1-9 0-5 2-2 0 3 3 0 7 4 -6 -
N. Dragovic 29 4-15 2-8 2-2 4 0 0 0 0 12 1 -
M. Roll 14 1-4 0-3 0-0 1 2 0 0 1 2 0 -
M. Lee 12 3-5 1-1 2-2 4 0 0 0 0 9 8 -
D. Gordon 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 1 0 0 3 -
J. Keefe 6 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
J. Anderson 4 1-3 0-1 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 2 1 -

* = starter