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2009-03-13

Model Predictions

Model Florida Gators Auburn Tigers Spread Result
Elo 48.2% 51.8% -
Bradley-Terry 56.6% 43.4% -
Margin 56.1% 43.9% -1.3 (4.3 off)
Pythagorean 49.6% 50.4% -
Efficiency 84.3% 15.7% -
Adjusted Efficiency 56.0% 44.0% -
Log Adjusted 56.1% 43.9% -

Actual: Auburn Tigers +3 (61-58). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Florida Gators

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
N. Calathes 36 3-13 1-6 0-2 11 5 2 0 4 7 8 -
W. Hodge 35 2-5 2-4 2-2 1 2 2 0 2 8 6 -
D. Werner 35 3-10 2-7 0-0 8 0 1 0 1 8 6 -
A. Tyus 33 9-17 0-0 3-3 11 1 1 1 2 21 16 -
E. Walker 24 5-10 3-7 1-3 0 2 2 0 3 14 5 -
C. Parsons 22 0-2 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 1 1 0 2 -
K. Kadji 8 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
R. Shipman 7 0-4 0-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 -2 -

Auburn Tigers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Waller 35 4-10 2-7 1-2 5 2 3 0 0 11 11 -
K. Barber 32 4-7 0-0 4-4 10 0 1 2 2 12 16 -
D. Reed 32 2-8 1-5 0-0 2 3 0 0 4 5 -2 -
R. Barrett 31 2-9 0-1 1-2 5 1 1 0 1 5 2 -
L. Hargrove 22 4-8 2-4 1-2 5 2 2 0 2 11 10 -
Q. Robertson 21 1-1 0-0 1-2 1 4 1 1 1 3 8 -
F. Sullivan 19 4-6 1-3 3-4 3 0 1 1 3 12 8 -
B. Knox 8 1-1 0-0 0-2 2 0 0 2 0 2 5 -

* = starter