๐Ÿปโฌ‡๏ธ๐Ÿ€

@
2009-03-13

Model Predictions

Model Florida Gators Auburn Tigers Spread Result
Elo 28.7% 71.3% +6.0 โœ“ (3.0 off)
Bradley-Terry 45.5% 54.5% - โœ“
Margin 49.1% 50.9% +0.2 โœ“ (2.8 off)
Pythagorean 49.9% 50.1% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 59.2% 40.8% - โœ—
Log Adjusted 59.1% 40.9% - โœ—
Points Off/Def 49.4% 50.6% - โœ“

Actual: Auburn Tigers +3 (61-58). Ratings: 2008-09 season-end ratings.

Florida Gators

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Nick Calathes * 36 3-13 1-6 0-2 11 5 2 0 4 7 8 -
Walter Hodge * 35 2-5 2-4 2-2 1 2 2 0 2 8 6 -
Dan Werner * 35 3-10 2-7 0-0 8 0 1 0 1 8 6 -
Alex Tyus * 33 9-17 0-0 3-3 11 1 1 1 2 21 16 -
Chandler Parsons * 22 0-2 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 1 1 0 2 -
Erving Walker 24 5-10 3-7 1-3 0 2 2 0 3 14 5 -
Kenny Kadji 8 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Ray Shipman 7 0-4 0-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 -2 -

Auburn Tigers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Tay Waller * 35 4-10 2-7 1-2 5 2 3 0 0 11 11 -
Korvotney Barber * 32 4-7 0-0 4-4 10 0 1 2 2 12 16 -
DeWayne Reed * 32 2-8 1-5 0-0 2 3 0 0 4 5 -2 -
Rasheem Barrett * 31 2-9 0-1 1-2 5 1 1 0 1 5 2 -
Quantez Robertson * 21 1-1 0-0 1-2 1 4 1 1 1 3 8 -
Lucas Hargrove 22 4-8 2-4 1-2 5 2 2 0 2 11 10 -
Frankie Sullivan 19 4-6 1-3 3-4 3 0 1 1 3 12 8 -
Brendon Knox 8 1-1 0-0 0-2 2 0 0 2 0 2 5 -

* = starter