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2009-07-19

Model Predictions

Model Atlanta Dream New York Liberty Spread Result
Elo 57.7% 42.3% -
Bradley-Terry 55.1% 44.9% -
Margin 43.5% 56.5% +1.4 (1.6 off)
Pythagorean 52.7% 47.3% -

Actual: New York Liberty +3 (89-86). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Atlanta Dream

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
I. Castro 38 7-15 1-6 9-9 4 1 2 0 4 24 12 -
E. de Souza 35 7-10 0-0 0-0 10 3 3 2 2 14 20 -
C. Holdsclaw 32 8-17 0-3 10-10 4 1 1 0 1 26 14 -
I. Latta 22 3-6 1-1 4-4 0 1 1 0 0 11 7 -
S. Lyttle 21 4-9 0-0 1-1 6 1 1 1 2 9 7 -
M. Snow 20 0-1 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 1 0 1 -
S. Lehning 18 1-4 0-2 0-0 7 2 1 0 2 2 6 -
A. McCoughtry 9 0-4 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 -4 -
T. Young 4 0-3 0-1 0-0 3 0 0 1 1 0 0 -
C. Miller 2 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

New York Liberty

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
S. Christon 34 8-14 6-10 10-11 8 1 2 3 1 32 31 -
J. McCarville 30 7-14 0-0 7-8 5 4 2 0 3 21 15 -
E. Carson 29 6-12 1-4 1-1 1 1 1 0 1 14 4 -
C. Kraayeveld 27 5-13 4-8 0-0 6 3 0 1 3 14 8 -
L. Moore 22 0-2 0-1 0-0 1 4 1 1 0 0 5 -
L. Mitchell 18 0-4 0-3 0-0 1 6 1 0 1 0 3 -
T. Jackson-Jones 14 0-4 0-0 2-4 6 0 0 0 0 2 4 -
S. Spencer 11 1-3 0-1 0-0 0 1 1 0 1 2 0 -
K. Vaughn 8 1-3 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 0 2 2 1 -
A. Battle 6 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 2 0 -

* = starter