Model Predictions
| Model | Detroit Shock | Phoenix Mercury | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 29.3% | 70.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 31.3% | 68.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 23.9% | 76.1% | +6.4 | ✓ (0.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 42.8% | 57.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Phoenix Mercury +7 (97-90). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Detroit Shock
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Smith | 36 | 8-15 | 4-9 | 1-2 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 21 | 9 | - |
| D. Nolan | 36 | 6-15 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 5 | - |
| C. Ford | 28 | 4-12 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 3 | - |
| T. McWilliams-Franklin | 27 | 4-9 | 0-1 | 4-6 | 12 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 20 | - |
| K. Braxton | 23 | 7-12 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 18 | 16 | - |
| A. Hornbuckle | 21 | 1-7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 6 | - |
| S. Zellous | 18 | 3-8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 2 | - |
| A. DeForge | 16 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| O. Sanni | 11 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | - |
| K. Haynie | 9 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Pondexter | 41 | 8-24 | 1-7 | 9-10 | 7 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 26 | 14 | - |
| T. Smith | 33 | 3-8 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 11 | - |
| L. Willingham | 33 | 10-16 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 22 | 15 | - |
| K. Mazzante | 32 | 0-5 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
| T. Johnson | 31 | 6-14 | 4-5 | 2-2 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 10 | - |
| D. Bonner | 25 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 7 | - |
| K. Swanier | 14 | 4-5 | 3-3 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 13 | - |
| N. Ohlde | 13 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| B. Smith | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter