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2009-07-15

Model Predictions

Model Dallas Wings Seattle Storm Spread Result
Elo 2.2% 97.8% - โœ—
Bradley-Terry 4.3% 95.7% - โœ—
Margin 2.3% 97.7% +20.6 โœ— (23.6 off)
Pythagorean 14.9% 85.1% - โœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% - โœ—
Log Adjusted 1.0% 99.0% - โœ—
Points Off/Def 13.4% 86.6% - โœ—

Actual: Seattle Storm -3 (63-66). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Dallas Wings

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Katie Smith * 36 6-11 2-4 5-5 3 4 1 0 2 19 14 -
Deanna Nolan * 33 4-11 3-4 0-0 4 7 4 2 5 11 12 -
Cheryl Ford * 32 3-6 0-0 2-8 8 1 0 0 3 8 8 -
Taj McWilliams-Franklin * 22 4-6 0-0 0-0 2 2 0 0 2 8 4 -
Anna DeForge * 17 3-4 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 2 6 2 -
Shavonte Zellous 21 2-4 0-0 4-4 5 1 0 1 2 8 9 -
Kara Braxton 18 2-3 0-0 0-2 4 1 0 0 5 4 1 -
Alexis Hornbuckle 10 1-2 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 2 2 -1 -
Olayinka Sanni 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 0 0 2 -

Seattle Storm

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Sue Bird * 36 5-11 0-3 0-0 3 6 5 0 3 10 10 -
Camille Smith * 32 4-11 0-0 4-8 6 2 1 0 3 12 7 -
Swin Cash * 27 3-8 0-1 2-3 3 1 0 1 4 8 1 -
Tanisha Wright * 25 4-5 0-0 2-2 1 3 0 1 0 10 10 -
Lauren Jackson * 23 4-12 1-4 2-2 4 0 2 0 2 11 3 -
Janell Burse 19 1-3 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 2 2 -1 -
Katie Gearlds 15 4-6 2-2 0-0 2 1 1 0 1 10 7 -
Shannon Johnson 14 0-4 0-3 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 0 -2 -
Ashley Robinson 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
Suzy Batkovic-Brown 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 0 -2 -

* = starter