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2009-03-12

Model Predictions

Model Texas Longhorns Kansas State Wildcats Spread Result
Elo 79.6% 20.4% -
Bradley-Terry 56.2% 43.8% -
Margin 61.4% 38.6% -2.5 (0.5 off)
Pythagorean 59.0% 41.0% -
Efficiency 92.6% 7.4% -
Adjusted Efficiency 86.1% 13.9% -
Log Adjusted 86.3% 13.7% -

Actual: Kansas State Wildcats -3 (58-61). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Texas Longhorns

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Mason 35 1-6 0-0 1-3 2 3 0 0 3 3 -1 -
D. Pittman 34 8-12 0-0 3-6 20 1 0 4 3 19 29 -
D. Balbay 29 2-4 0-0 2-3 5 2 1 2 5 6 7 -
A.J. Abrams 27 2-4 2-4 0-0 2 0 1 0 3 6 2 -
D. James 24 3-7 1-1 0-0 3 0 0 1 4 7 0 -
V. Ward 19 3-5 0-0 3-3 3 1 0 2 1 9 9 -
G. Johnson 15 1-3 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 1 2 0 -
C. Atchley 9 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 -
C. Chapman 8 3-4 0-0 3-5 1 0 0 1 1 9 6 -
M. Hill 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
H. Smith 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Kansas State Wildcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Clemente 34 4-20 2-8 0-0 3 3 0 0 1 10 -5 -
R. Anderson Jr. 31 2-4 0-0 3-6 3 2 1 0 1 7 8 -
J. Pullen 29 6-15 3-8 6-7 2 1 4 0 2 21 11 -
D. Kent 27 1-6 0-1 0-0 8 1 0 1 2 2 4 -
J. Samuels 25 4-9 0-0 3-7 7 0 1 0 1 11 9 -
D. Sutton 25 1-5 0-0 2-2 2 1 1 0 1 4 2 -
F. Brown 19 1-5 1-3 0-0 4 1 1 0 1 3 3 -
L. Colon 10 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 2 0 -1 -

* = starter