Model Predictions
| Model | Dallas Wings | Connecticut Sun | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 10.4% | 89.6% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 13.7% | 86.3% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 4.6% | 95.4% | +16.7 | ✗ (18.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 20.4% | 79.6% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 4.9% | 95.1% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 4.8% | 95.2% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 18.1% | 81.9% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Connecticut Sun -2 (77-79). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Dallas Wings
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Katie Smith * | 38 | 9-17 | 3-5 | 4-4 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 25 | 10 | - |
| Anna DeForge * | 37 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 8 | - |
| Taj McWilliams-Franklin * | 31 | 2-7 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 0 | - |
| Cheryl Ford * | 25 | 3-12 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 11 | - |
| Kristin Haynie * | 10 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Alexis Hornbuckle | 30 | 4-9 | 1-2 | 2-4 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 11 | - |
| Kara Braxton | 23 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 6-8 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 22 | - |
| Shavonte Zellous | 18 | 1-11 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 4 | -7 | - |
| Olayinka Sanni | 9 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 8 | - |
Connecticut Sun
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Asjha Jones * | 39 | 9-19 | 1-1 | 4-7 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 23 | 14 | - |
| Lindsay Whalen * | 36 | 6-15 | 1-5 | 7-7 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 20 | 6 | - |
| Erin Phillips * | 28 | 5-6 | 1-2 | 2-3 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 14 | - |
| Kerri Gardin * | 27 | 4-9 | 2-4 | 2-6 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 7 | - |
| Sandrine Gruda * | 24 | 0-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Chante Black | 26 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7 | - |
| Tan White | 25 | 1-10 | 0-6 | 5-6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 4 | - |
| Anete Jekabsone-Zogota | 13 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Kiesha Brown | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | - |
* = starter