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2009-07-11

Model Predictions

Model Detroit Shock Connecticut Sun Spread Result
Elo 62.9% 37.1% -
Bradley-Terry 52.6% 47.4% -
Margin 37.9% 62.1% +2.7 (4.7 off)
Pythagorean 49.3% 50.7% -

Actual: Connecticut Sun -2 (77-79). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Detroit Shock

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
K. Smith 38 9-17 3-5 4-4 3 3 1 0 5 25 10 -
A. DeForge 38 1-3 0-0 0-0 8 2 1 0 2 2 8 -
T. McWilliams-Franklin 32 2-7 0-1 3-4 0 0 1 1 2 7 0 -
A. Hornbuckle 31 4-9 1-2 2-4 6 2 3 0 2 11 11 -
C. Ford 25 3-12 0-0 3-3 12 1 0 2 1 9 11 -
K. Braxton 24 4-5 0-0 6-8 13 1 0 0 1 14 22 -
S. Zellous 18 1-11 0-0 2-4 3 0 1 0 4 4 -7 -
K. Haynie 10 0-3 0-1 0-0 2 1 1 0 0 0 1 -
O. Sanni 9 1-1 0-0 5-6 2 0 0 0 0 7 8 -

Connecticut Sun

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Jones 39 9-19 1-1 4-7 10 2 0 0 2 23 14 -
L. Whalen 37 6-15 1-5 7-7 2 3 0 1 5 20 6 -
E. Phillips 29 5-6 1-2 2-3 6 1 3 0 3 13 14 -
K. Gardin 28 4-9 2-4 2-6 4 1 0 0 1 12 7 -
T. White 26 1-10 0-6 5-6 3 1 2 1 0 7 4 -
C. Black 26 0-4 0-0 1-2 7 0 0 3 0 1 7 -
S. Gruda 24 0-6 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 2 1 0 -1 -
A. Jekabsone-Zogota 13 0-3 0-0 0-0 0 1 1 0 0 0 -1 -
K. Brown 3 0-1 0-0 1-2 0 0 0 0 1 1 -1 -

* = starter