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2009-07-11

Model Predictions

Model Atlanta Dream New York Liberty Spread Result
Elo 57.7% 42.3% -
Bradley-Terry 55.1% 44.9% -
Margin 43.5% 56.5% +1.4 (0.6 off)
Pythagorean 52.7% 47.3% -

Actual: New York Liberty +2 (71-69). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Atlanta Dream

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
E. de Souza 36 3-6 0-0 4-5 8 0 0 1 1 10 12 -
S. Lyttle 33 8-21 0-0 1-1 6 1 1 0 3 17 1 -
I. Castro 33 7-11 1-4 3-5 8 6 1 0 4 18 18 -
C. Holdsclaw 31 3-13 0-1 3-4 8 1 3 0 5 9 3 -
S. Lehning 29 1-6 0-1 1-1 6 1 0 0 4 3 0 -
A. McCoughtry 16 2-6 0-0 2-2 2 1 2 0 2 6 3 -
J. Lacy 7 2-3 0-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 4 2 -
C. Miller 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 2 0 0 3 0 1 -
M. Snow 4 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 2 -
I. Latta 3 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -2 -

New York Liberty

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
S. Christon 35 4-12 3-8 7-7 6 1 2 1 3 18 13 -
E. Carson 34 6-10 1-2 4-4 3 4 4 0 1 17 17 -
L. Moore 31 2-7 2-5 0-0 1 6 4 0 3 6 7 -
J. McCarville 28 3-10 0-0 1-1 7 2 3 3 7 7 5 -
C. Kraayeveld 24 1-5 1-4 6-6 3 0 0 1 1 9 7 -
T. Jackson-Jones 19 3-6 0-0 0-0 5 3 3 0 1 6 10 -
A. Battle 11 0-4 0-2 0-0 0 1 2 0 1 0 -2 -
K. Vaughn 10 4-6 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 2 8 3 -
L. Mitchell 9 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 3 0 -3 -

* = starter