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2009-03-12

Model Predictions

Model Vanderbilt Commodores Alabama Crimson Tide Spread Result
Elo 35.3% 64.7% -
Bradley-Terry 34.3% 65.7% -
Margin 26.8% 73.2% +5.5 (1.5 off)
Pythagorean 50.3% 49.7% -
Efficiency 36.1% 63.9% -
Adjusted Efficiency 57.5% 42.5% -
Log Adjusted 57.6% 42.4% -

Actual: Alabama Crimson Tide +7 (82-75). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Vanderbilt Commodores

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
B. Tinsley 34 6-14 5-10 3-4 3 0 2 0 4 20 7 -
J. Beal 32 2-11 1-8 0-0 2 6 1 0 2 5 1 -
A.J. Ogilvy 31 2-7 0-2 4-7 8 6 0 2 3 8 14 -
J. Taylor 27 7-11 1-3 2-2 6 1 1 0 2 17 12 -
G. Drake 19 6-8 2-4 0-0 3 1 4 0 0 14 14 -
L. Goulbourne 15 1-3 0-1 0-0 3 1 0 0 1 2 2 -
D. McClellan 13 0-1 0-0 0-0 3 2 0 0 1 0 3 -
F. Ezeli 12 1-5 0-0 2-2 2 0 0 1 0 4 2 -
S. Tchiengang 12 0-3 0-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
C. Hinkle 5 1-2 1-1 2-2 1 0 0 0 1 5 3 -

Alabama Crimson Tide

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Gee 33 9-12 0-0 7-8 6 1 0 0 2 25 18 -
M. Torrance 32 6-12 0-1 8-8 2 5 0 1 5 20 11 -
S. Hillman 30 2-9 0-2 1-2 2 2 3 0 4 5 -1 -
J. Green 28 6-10 0-0 1-2 10 0 1 2 1 13 15 -
Y. Coleman 23 2-6 0-0 0-0 6 0 0 0 1 4 3 -
J. Knox 15 1-2 0-0 4-4 6 0 0 1 1 6 10 -
A. Brock 15 1-4 1-2 4-4 1 2 1 0 0 7 7 -
D. Jemison 12 0-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
A. Steele 12 1-3 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 1 2 0 -

* = starter