Model Predictions
| Model | Fresno State Bulldogs | Utah State Aggies | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 7.0% | 93.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 8.6% | 91.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 6.5% | 93.5% | +14.7 | ✓ (2.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 29.6% | 70.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 4.0% | 96.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 3.9% | 96.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 21.4% | 78.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Utah State Aggies +17 (85-68). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Fresno State Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| P. George | 39 | 6-10 | 0-4 | 4-7 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 15 | - |
| D. O'Neil | 36 | 4-7 | 3-3 | 3-5 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 11 | - |
| S. Seay | 35 | 5-14 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 3 | - |
| N. Golubovic | 29 | 3-8 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 4 | - |
| M. Ladd | 26 | 3-8 | 1-4 | 3-4 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 5 | - |
| B. Sperling | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| B. Cartwright | 13 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | - |
| B. Webster | 5 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | - |
| B. Seals | 4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
Utah State Aggies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Newbold | 33 | 2-4 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 12 | - |
| J. Quayle | 30 | 5-13 | 4-9 | 4-4 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 16 | - |
| T. Wesley | 27 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 11 | - |
| G. Wilkinson | 26 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 8-10 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 18 | 13 | - |
| P. Williams | 25 | 2-5 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 2 | - |
| S. Williams | 22 | 8-11 | 6-8 | 0-1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 22 | 14 | - |
| M. Formisano | 20 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | - |
| J. Myaer | 10 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 6 | - |
| B. Jardine | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | - |
* = starter