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2009-03-12

Model Predictions

Model Iowa Hawkeyes Michigan Wolverines Spread Result
Elo 17.3% 82.7% -
Bradley-Terry 39.2% 60.8% -
Margin 31.2% 68.8% +4.3 (23.7 off)
Pythagorean 40.1% 59.9% -
Efficiency 41.5% 58.5% -
Adjusted Efficiency 15.1% 84.9% -
Log Adjusted 14.9% 85.1% -

Actual: Michigan Wolverines +28 (73-45). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Iowa Hawkeyes

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Bawinkel 37 2-3 2-3 0-0 2 2 1 0 2 6 6 -
J. Kelly 37 3-11 1-4 3-4 7 2 0 0 5 10 3 -
M. Gatens 31 1-10 0-3 0-0 2 1 3 0 4 2 -6 -
C. Tate 26 4-5 0-0 4-6 4 1 1 0 1 12 12 -
A. Fuller 25 3-8 1-5 0-0 6 0 0 0 2 7 3 -
J. Cole 24 2-5 0-0 4-4 3 0 0 0 2 8 4 -
J. Davis 17 0-2 0-1 0-0 2 1 0 1 0 0 2 -
J.R. Angle 3 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -

Michigan Wolverines

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Harris 34 7-11 3-5 1-1 7 8 1 1 4 18 20 -
Z. Novak 31 1-2 1-2 0-0 2 3 1 0 1 3 6 -
D. Sims 30 12-16 1-2 2-2 2 1 3 0 1 27 16 -
S. Douglass 25 3-6 2-4 0-0 4 2 1 1 0 8 10 -
C.J. Lee 21 1-2 0-1 0-0 1 5 1 0 2 2 5 -
D. Merritt 18 1-2 1-2 2-2 0 1 1 0 1 5 4 -
L. Lucas-Perry 15 2-4 2-4 0-0 4 2 0 0 0 6 8 -
Z. Gibson 9 2-5 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 1 1 4 -1 -
A. Wright 8 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 1 0 1 0 2 -
J. Shepherd 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
K. Grady 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
E. Puls 1 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

* = starter