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2009-03-12

Model Predictions

Model Arkansas Razorbacks Florida Gators Spread Result
Elo 19.9% 80.1% -
Bradley-Terry 37.7% 62.3% -
Margin 27.1% 72.9% +5.4 (9.6 off)
Pythagorean 35.6% 64.4% -
Efficiency 17.3% 82.7% -
Adjusted Efficiency 13.3% 86.7% -
Log Adjusted 13.2% 86.8% -

Actual: Florida Gators +15 (73-58). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Arkansas Razorbacks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
R. Clarke 36 4-12 3-10 0-0 2 1 1 0 1 11 2 -
M. Washington 35 7-14 0-1 1-2 18 1 0 0 1 15 19 -
M. Britt 34 4-8 2-3 0-0 2 3 1 0 2 10 6 -
C. Fortson 33 3-11 0-2 3-5 3 3 1 0 6 9 -1 -
M. Sanchez 28 3-6 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 0 2 6 2 -
S. Welsh 17 2-5 1-4 0-0 1 1 1 0 4 5 -1 -
A. Clark 10 1-2 0-0 0-2 2 0 0 0 0 2 2 -
B. Moore 4 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 -
S. Cox 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 0 1 -
J. Noland 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Florida Gators

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
N. Calathes 36 5-10 1-4 0-0 6 7 1 0 5 11 10 -
W. Hodge 35 5-12 0-5 6-6 0 3 3 0 1 16 9 -
D. Werner 30 6-14 2-7 1-1 13 3 1 2 2 15 18 -
A. Tyus 25 2-6 0-0 2-2 5 0 0 0 2 6 3 -
E. Walker 24 3-7 2-4 4-4 1 3 5 0 0 12 14 -
C. Parsons 23 2-6 1-3 0-2 5 0 0 1 1 5 4 -
K. Kadji 16 2-4 0-0 0-0 5 0 1 0 0 4 6 -
R. Shipman 10 1-2 0-0 2-2 1 1 0 0 0 4 4 -
K. McClanahan 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter