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2009-07-10

Model Predictions

Model Indiana Fever Chicago Sky Spread Result
Elo 56.1% 43.9% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 60.0% 40.0% - โœ“
Margin 56.6% 43.4% -1.5 โœ“ (27.5 off)
Pythagorean 54.4% 45.6% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 65.8% 34.2% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 65.9% 34.1% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 52.3% 47.7% - โœ“

Actual: Chicago Sky -29 (54-83). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Indiana Fever

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Katie Douglas * 24 4-9 1-3 2-2 5 1 1 0 3 11 6 -
Tammy Sutton-Brown * 20 5-9 0-0 1-2 7 0 1 1 2 11 9 -
Ebony Hoffman * 18 1-3 1-1 0-0 2 6 2 1 1 3 10 -
Tully Bevilaqua * 15 3-6 2-4 0-0 2 4 1 0 1 8 8 -
Tamika Catchings * 7 2-3 0-0 1-1 2 0 2 0 1 5 5 -
Briann January 24 3-9 2-6 0-0 3 6 0 0 1 8 7 -
Shay Murphy 23 7-12 1-4 0-0 6 1 0 0 0 15 10 -
Jessica Moore 21 2-4 0-0 2-2 2 1 0 1 0 6 6 -
Jessica Davenport 17 6-7 0-0 0-0 2 0 1 2 2 12 8 -
Tamecka Dixon 14 2-5 0-0 0-0 2 5 0 0 0 4 6 -
Christina Wirth 11 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 2 0 0 0 0 5 -

Chicago Sky

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Candice Dupree * 27 2-10 0-1 2-2 8 3 0 0 3 6 4 -
Chen Nan * 26 3-7 0-0 3-3 4 0 1 0 3 9 4 -
Brooke Wyckoff * 23 3-5 2-3 0-0 4 0 0 0 1 8 6 -
Jia Perkins * 19 2-5 0-0 0-0 4 2 1 0 2 4 4 -
Dominique Canty * 10 2-5 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 1 2 4 -1 -
Shyra Ely-Gash 24 4-11 1-2 3-4 3 0 0 0 1 12 3 -
Kristi Toliver 20 0-9 0-5 0-0 3 4 0 0 2 0 -4 -
Armintie Herrington 18 0-2 0-0 7-8 3 1 0 1 1 7 9 -
K.B. Sharp 15 0-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 1 0 -1 -
Erin Thorn 13 2-5 0-0 0-0 1 1 1 0 0 4 2 -

* = starter