Model Predictions
| Model | Chicago Sky | Phoenix Mercury | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 21.1% | 78.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 25.8% | 74.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 12.4% | 87.6% | +10.8 | ✓ (9.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 34.3% | 65.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 18.4% | 81.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 18.4% | 81.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 29.0% | 71.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Phoenix Mercury +20 (90-70). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Chicago Sky
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Candice Dupree | 33 | 8-15 | 0-1 | 6-9 | 12 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 22 | 22 | - |
| J. Perkins | 25 | 4-15 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 1 | - |
| B. Wyckoff | 24 | 0-6 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - |
| A. Herrington | 24 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
| E. Thorn | 21 | 3-8 | 1-5 | 1-1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 2 | - |
| C. Nan | 20 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
| D. Canty | 18 | 0-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -4 | - |
| K.B. Sharp | 17 | 5-7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 1 | - |
| S. Ely-Gash | 14 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 7 | - |
| Kristi Toliver | 5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -1 | - |
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Pondexter | 28 | 7-13 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 16 | 12 | - |
| Diana Taurasi | 28 | 8-10 | 2-3 | 4-4 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 22 | 24 | - |
| T. Johnson | 25 | 1-8 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 5 | - |
| T. Smith | 23 | 3-9 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 14 | - |
| L. Willingham | 20 | 5-11 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 7 | - |
| DeWanna Bonner | 20 | 3-11 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 4 | - |
| K. Mazzante | 19 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| N. Ohlde | 17 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 3 | - |
| K. Swanier | 12 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Allie Quigley | 6 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | - |
| B. Smith | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
* = starter