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2009-07-08

Model Predictions

Model Chicago Sky Phoenix Mercury Spread Result
Elo 16.8% 83.2% -
Bradley-Terry 24.5% 75.5% -
Margin 12.8% 87.2% +10.6 (9.4 off)
Pythagorean 31.4% 68.6% -

Actual: Phoenix Mercury +20 (90-70). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Chicago Sky

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
C. Dupree 33 8-15 0-1 6-9 12 1 2 3 3 22 22 -
J. Perkins 25 4-15 0-3 2-2 4 1 0 1 0 10 1 -
B. Wyckoff 24 0-6 0-2 2-2 6 1 1 1 1 2 4 -
A. Herrington 24 1-5 0-0 1-3 3 2 1 0 0 3 4 -
E. Thorn 21 3-8 1-5 1-1 2 1 0 0 1 8 2 -
C. Nan 20 2-7 0-0 0-0 6 0 1 1 0 4 5 -
D. Canty 18 0-6 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 -4 -
K.B. Sharp 17 5-7 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 10 1 -
S. Ely-Gash 14 3-6 0-1 3-4 4 0 0 0 0 9 7 -
K. Toliver 5 1-3 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 -1 -

Phoenix Mercury

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
C. Pondexter 28 7-13 2-4 0-1 2 6 0 2 1 16 12 -
D. Taurasi 28 8-10 2-3 4-4 10 3 1 1 3 22 24 -
T. Johnson 25 1-8 1-5 2-2 4 5 1 1 3 5 5 -
T. Smith 23 3-9 1-3 2-2 13 1 0 1 1 9 14 -
L. Willingham 20 5-11 0-0 1-1 4 2 0 1 0 11 7 -
D. Bonner 20 3-11 0-1 4-4 6 0 0 0 1 10 4 -
K. Mazzante 19 1-4 1-4 0-0 3 0 1 0 0 3 3 -
N. Ohlde 17 4-8 0-0 1-1 1 1 0 0 0 9 3 -
K. Swanier 12 1-2 0-1 0-0 1 1 0 0 1 2 1 -
A. Quigley 6 1-2 1-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 3 0 -
B. Smith 3 0-1 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 0 2 -

* = starter