Model Predictions
| Model | Connecticut Sun | Atlanta Dream | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 33.8% | 66.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 40.5% | 59.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 29.1% | 70.9% | +4.9 | ✓ (0.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 44.8% | 55.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 43.8% | 56.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 43.8% | 56.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 40.8% | 59.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Atlanta Dream +5 (72-67). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Connecticut Sun
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Jones | 30 | 7-13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 6 | - |
| L. Whalen | 26 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 6 | - |
| T. White | 23 | 6-13 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 8 | - |
| E. Phillips | 22 | 1-7 | 0-4 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | -1 | - |
| S. Gruda | 21 | 4-10 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 7 | - |
| K. Gardin | 19 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 2 | - |
| T. Whitmore | 19 | 1-6 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | - |
| K. Brown | 18 | 4-7 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 14 | - |
| A. Jekabsone-Zogota | 13 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -1 | - |
| C. Black | 10 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 4 | - |
Atlanta Dream
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Holdsclaw | 35 | 6-18 | 0-2 | 7-9 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 19 | 12 | - |
| S. Lyttle | 35 | 6-14 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 11 | - |
| E. de Souza | 32 | 4-11 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 17 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 12 | 24 | - |
| S. Lehning | 29 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 8 | - |
| I. Castro | 25 | 6-17 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 0 | - |
| C. Miller | 20 | 2-5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 3 | - |
| Angel McCoughtry | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| M. Snow | 7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 3 | - |
| J. Lacy | 6 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| I. Latta | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter