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Connecticut Sun 67
@
Atlanta Dream 72
2009-07-07

Model Predictions

Model Connecticut Sun Atlanta Dream Spread Result
Elo 33.5% 66.5% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 38.3% 61.7% - ✓
Margin 29.7% 70.3% +4.8 ✓ (0.2 off)
Pythagorean 44.7% 55.3% - ✓

Actual: Atlanta Dream +5 (72-67). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Connecticut Sun

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Jones 30 7-13 0-0 0-0 6 1 0 0 2 14 6 -
L. Whalen 26 2-4 0-1 2-4 4 1 2 0 3 6 6 -
T. White 23 6-13 2-7 0-0 6 2 2 0 3 14 8 -
E. Phillips 22 1-7 0-4 2-2 3 1 1 0 3 4 -1 -
S. Gruda 21 4-10 0-0 1-2 6 1 0 1 0 9 7 -
K. Gardin 19 0-3 0-1 0-0 5 3 1 0 4 0 2 -
T. Whitmore 19 1-6 0-1 1-1 3 1 0 0 1 3 0 -
K. Brown 18 4-7 1-2 2-2 4 4 2 1 1 11 14 -
A. Jekabsone-Zogota 13 0-3 0-1 2-2 1 0 0 0 1 2 -1 -
C. Black 10 1-2 0-0 2-2 4 0 0 0 2 4 4 -

Atlanta Dream

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
C. Holdsclaw 35 6-18 0-2 7-9 7 1 2 2 1 19 12 -
S. Lyttle 35 6-14 0-0 2-2 7 3 5 0 4 14 11 -
E. de Souza 32 4-11 0-0 4-6 17 0 4 2 0 12 24 -
S. Lehning 29 2-4 0-1 0-0 1 7 1 0 1 4 8 -
I. Castro 25 6-17 2-4 0-0 2 1 2 0 2 14 0 -
C. Miller 20 2-5 1-1 0-0 2 3 0 0 2 5 3 -
A. McCoughtry 9 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 1 0 0 -
M. Snow 7 1-2 0-0 2-2 2 1 0 0 2 4 3 -
J. Lacy 6 0-1 0-1 0-0 3 0 0 0 1 0 1 -
I. Latta 3 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

* = starter