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2009-07-07

Model Predictions

Model Las Vegas Aces Seattle Storm Spread Result
Elo 7.9% 92.1% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 9.4% 90.6% - โœ“
Margin 7.6% 92.4% +13.7 โœ“ (0.7 off)
Pythagorean 29.2% 70.8% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 7.6% 92.4% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 7.5% 92.5% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 22.2% 77.8% - โœ“

Actual: Seattle Storm +13 (66-53). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Las Vegas Aces

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Sophia Young-Malcolm * 36 3-12 1-4 2-2 7 1 2 1 2 9 6 -
Becky Hammon * 34 3-9 0-2 7-8 2 5 2 1 4 13 10 -
Vickie Johnson * 23 2-8 2-4 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 6 -1 -
Ruth Riley * 22 3-4 0-0 1-2 1 1 0 3 1 7 7 -
Helen Darling * 21 0-6 0-3 1-2 2 2 4 0 0 1 3 -
Belinda Snell 24 3-9 2-5 1-1 2 2 2 0 1 9 5 -
Erin Perperoglou 17 1-3 0-1 1-2 0 1 1 2 2 3 2 -
Edwige Lawson-Wade 16 2-6 1-4 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 5 1 -
Katie Mattera 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Megan Frazee 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -

Seattle Storm

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Camille Smith * 35 5-12 0-1 2-2 5 0 2 0 3 12 4 -
Lauren Jackson * 33 1-11 0-2 1-4 12 0 0 4 2 3 6 -
Swin Cash * 32 5-8 0-0 8-9 12 2 0 0 1 18 23 -
Sue Bird * 32 7-15 2-4 1-2 1 3 3 0 6 17 3 -
Tanisha Wright * 29 2-7 0-0 2-2 4 2 2 1 2 6 6 -
Shannon Johnson 21 3-7 0-2 2-2 5 1 1 0 2 8 6 -
Katie Gearlds 12 1-2 0-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 2 2 -
Janell Burse 2 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 -
Ashley Robinson 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter