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2009-07-07

Model Predictions

Model Chicago Sky Sacramento Monarchs Spread Result
Elo 48.6% 51.4% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 53.5% 46.5% - โœ—
Margin 29.1% 70.9% +4.9 โœ“ (5.1 off)
Pythagorean 44.3% 55.7% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 42.4% 57.6% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 42.3% 57.7% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 40.8% 59.2% - โœ“

Actual: Sacramento Monarchs +10 (83-73). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Chicago Sky

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Candice Dupree 36 9-12 0-0 0-0 2 3 5 1 2 18 15 -
J. Perkins 29 6-16 3-5 6-6 5 6 3 0 1 21 18 -
C. Nan 26 3-9 0-0 0-1 4 0 0 0 2 6 -1 -
B. Wyckoff 26 2-4 1-2 0-0 2 3 0 1 3 5 4 -
A. Herrington 24 1-4 0-0 0-0 4 4 1 0 2 2 5 -
D. Canty 22 3-7 1-1 3-6 3 2 1 0 4 10 5 -
Kristi Toliver 13 1-4 1-2 0-0 1 3 1 0 1 3 3 -
E. Thorn 11 0-3 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 0 -4 -
S. Ely-Gash 7 3-4 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 6 1 -
K.B. Sharp 5 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 2 -

Sacramento Monarchs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
N. Powell 26 3-8 2-4 2-2 7 3 0 0 1 10 11 -
R. Brunson 26 4-7 0-0 2-2 10 0 3 0 5 10 11 -
T. Penicheiro 24 2-5 0-2 0-0 0 6 2 0 1 4 6 -
D. Walker 21 4-4 0-0 0-0 3 2 1 2 5 8 7 -
K. Lawson 20 4-9 3-7 2-2 1 6 1 0 0 13 12 -
S. Dorrell 20 2-3 0-0 2-4 2 0 0 0 1 6 4 -
C. Newton 16 2-4 0-0 0-0 2 4 1 0 1 4 6 -
H. Maiga-Ba 16 6-11 0-0 1-2 0 0 1 1 3 13 1 -
L. Harper 13 2-4 0-0 1-1 3 1 0 0 1 5 4 -
C. Paris 8 2-2 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 4 1 -
C. Kelly 8 2-3 0-0 2-4 6 1 0 0 1 6 9 -

* = starter