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2009-07-07

Model Predictions

Model Washington Mystics Minnesota Lynx Spread Result
Elo 61.5% 38.5% - โœ—
Bradley-Terry 70.1% 29.9% - โœ—
Margin 73.4% 26.6% -5.6 โœ— (7.6 off)
Pythagorean 58.1% 41.9% - โœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 80.1% 19.9% - โœ—
Log Adjusted 80.3% 19.7% - โœ—
Points Off/Def 61.0% 39.0% - โœ—

Actual: Minnesota Lynx +2 (96-94). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Washington Mystics

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Monique Currie * 35 2-6 1-1 3-4 11 4 2 0 2 8 17 -
Alana Beard * 35 4-13 1-2 5-8 3 3 1 1 3 14 6 -
Lindsey Harding * 35 10-17 1-2 6-9 0 1 0 0 4 27 7 -
Chasity Melvin * 25 3-6 0-0 4-4 10 0 3 0 2 10 15 -
Nakia Sanford * 17 3-7 0-0 0-1 4 0 0 0 0 6 3 -
Crystal Langhorne 31 5-10 0-0 2-2 7 0 1 0 2 12 8 -
Matee Ajavon 18 2-8 0-1 1-2 1 0 1 0 2 5 -3 -
Bernice Mosby 14 4-6 0-0 2-2 4 1 0 1 0 10 10 -
Marissa Coleman 10 0-3 0-1 2-3 1 0 0 0 1 2 -1 -

Minnesota Lynx

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Candice Wiggins * 39 4-12 1-2 2-4 3 2 0 0 1 11 3 -
Nicky Anosike * 39 6-9 0-0 12-17 4 4 3 0 3 24 23 -
Roneeka Hodges * 36 3-5 2-3 2-2 3 0 0 3 2 10 9 -
Charde Houston * 27 6-11 2-3 5-6 8 1 0 0 1 19 16 -
Kelly Miller * 22 1-5 0-1 0-0 2 4 0 0 2 2 1 -
Renee Montgomery 22 6-12 0-2 9-11 1 1 1 0 2 21 10 -
Rashanda McCants 14 2-4 0-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 4 1 -
Christi Thomas 9 1-6 0-3 0-0 3 0 3 2 1 2 3 -
LaToya Sanders 7 0-1 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 0 1 0 2 -
Quanitra Hollingsworth 5 1-1 0-0 1-2 2 0 0 0 0 3 4 -

* = starter